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RoLS estimate?

Posted: Fri May 25, 2018 5:19 pm
by The Gray
Is there an estimated amount of trainers and masters that need to be killed to have a good chance to find the ring? I killed over 600 trainers and 300 masters and still nothing, but I also have no magical finder skills, I'm definitly going to get that skill in my next skill unlock :P

Re: RoLS estimate?

Posted: Fri May 25, 2018 5:37 pm
by rijackson741
This is the probability of finding an extraordinary item or a legendary item, vs the number of kills:
Prob of Ext of Leg Item - 0 level MF.png
With 900 kills your chance of success was about 10%.

Re: RoLS estimate?

Posted: Fri May 25, 2018 5:43 pm
by The Gray
is that with or without magical finder? also, so the chances increase for every kill i get?

Re: RoLS estimate?

Posted: Fri May 25, 2018 6:37 pm
by rijackson741
That is with no MF. The chance is always the same: one in 10,000. But more kills makes it more likely you will get one. If you kill 10,000 you have about a 60% chance of getting a ring. Probability does not have a memory though. If you kill 10,000 and do not get a ring, the chance on the next kill is still 1 in 10,000.

Re: RoLS estimate?

Posted: Fri May 25, 2018 9:10 pm
by The Gray
okay cool, thanks :)

Re: RoLS estimate?

Posted: Sun May 27, 2018 5:00 pm
by The Gray
rijackson741 wrote: Fri May 25, 2018 6:37 pm That is with no MF. The chance is always the same: one in 10,000. But more kills makes it more likely you will get one. If you kill 10,000 you have about a 60% chance of getting a ring. Probability does not have a memory though. If you kill 10,000 and do not get a ring, the chance on the next kill is still 1 in 10,000.
If I got a skill upgrade in MF will my chances reset mid-grind or no?

Re: RoLS estimate?

Posted: Mon May 28, 2018 11:21 am
by rijackson741
I'm not sure what you mean by "reset". With no levels of MF your chance of a drop is 1 in 10,000. With one level of MF your chance of a drop is 1 in 6666. What you have done prior to getting a level of MF makes no difference.

Re: RoLS estimate?

Posted: Mon May 28, 2018 2:12 pm
by The Gray
rijackson741 wrote: Mon May 28, 2018 11:21 am I'm not sure what you mean by "reset". With no levels of MF your chance of a drop is 1 in 10,000. With one level of MF your chance of a drop is 1 in 6666. What you have done prior to getting a level of MF makes no difference.
I got a level of MF during my grinding for the Rols, with my 900 kills. I was just worried if I got a MF skill while I got all these trainer and master kills would my chances be bugged out or something

Re: RoLS estimate?

Posted: Mon May 28, 2018 2:13 pm
by rijackson741
Your current kills have no effect on the chances in the future.

Re: RoLS estimate?

Posted: Tue May 29, 2018 2:44 am
by The Gray
rijackson741 wrote: Mon May 28, 2018 2:13 pm Your current kills have no effect on the chances in the future.
If I increased my Magical Finder skill during my RoLS grind, as a result of upgrading, did it reset my chances of getting the ring or did it just increase it even more?